Is Brazil’s Rising GDP Saving Miami Real Estate?

News recently broke that Brazil could be saving the Miami real estate market, but how could that be when it is so far way? It first began when upper middle class Brazilians began purchasing property in Orlando and Miami in the 1990s due to high taxes and interest rates, as well as to avoid tax authorities. Now it has trickled down to the middle class. Given Brazil’s strong currency and increased spending power their middle class is purchasing a large number of Florida properties, according to a Folha de São Paulo study.

Overall, Miami’s improving real estate market has even been linked to the rising GDP in Brazil which was reported by the Association of Foreign Real Estate Investors (AFIRE). As real estate prices here in South Florida are continuously decreasing and those in Brazil are increasing, foreign buyers are continuously looking to purchase across the border. AFIRE EVEN believes Miami could become dependent on the foreign buyers from Brazil as well as other countries.

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Source: Forbes

Image: The Real Deal

Investors interested in core

Real estate investors are shying away from risky funds in new developments and shifting more toward the “core” funds of buildings that already are well-leased and looking stable, according to this Wall Street Journal article.

WSJ reports,

“The trend has effectively split the real-estate market: Values of mature, well-performing properties are increasing, while turnaround situations continue to suffer.”

Buildings with higher vacancy levels are being avoided by investors, meaning their value likely will continue to drop. Wall Street has also taken note, with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. starting an asset-management business centered on “less-risky property deals.” Raising money from investors and pension funds, the business will try to acquire core property with long-range tenants and only small amounts of debt.

Read more about the investors’ switch here, and then let us know what you think. Will stable buildings continue to stabilize as barely leased buildings continue to suffer?

Graph credit: The Wall Street Journal

Sources differ on CRE price stats

Moody’s Investors Service and Green Street Advisors are offering commercial real estate price statistics that differ completely.

Moody’s indicated Tuesday that CRE prices nationwide decreased 3.3 percent in August, which still offers a bleak outlook since these prices for offices, apartments and shopping centers are down 45 percent from the peak in 2007.

But Green Street Advisors recently reported property values have increased by almost 30 percent since the lows of 2009.

Why the conflicting data? Both companies depend on price indexes they developed from within, according to the Dow Jones Newswires. Moody’s looks at sales of $2.5 million and up that have already closed, whereas Green Street Advisors looks at 47 REITs with assets of about $400 billion.

To learn more about the differing data, read this Dow Jones article posted by The Wall Street Journal, then be sure to let us know your thoughts. How do you think the price index should be measured?

Photo: citta-vita on flickr